Comment on If AI was going to advance exponentially I'd of expected it to take off by now.

• logi@lemmy.world ⁨6⁩ ⁨days⁩ ago

  How about this, this is a real easy one. What type of function is this:

  There is a theorem that “all smooth functions are locally linear”. In other words, most “normal” functions are indistinguishable from a straight line on the graph if you zoom in far enough.

  So that’s not just no than easy one, it is an impossible one.

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  • Clinicallydepressedpoochie@lemmy.world ⁨6⁩ ⁨days⁩ ago

    And yet you want me to believe that because “exponential functions can have a slow build up” its is definitely exponental.

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    • logi@lemmy.world ⁨6⁩ ⁨days⁩ ago

      I do not.

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      • Clinicallydepressedpoochie@lemmy.world ⁨6⁩ ⁨days⁩ ago

        Then what are we arguing about?

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    • monotremata@lemmy.ca ⁨6⁩ ⁨days⁩ ago

      They’re not saying that slow growth is definitely evidence it’s exponential. They’re saying that slow growth doesn’t prove that it isn’t exponential, which seemed to be what you were saying.

      It’s always hard to identify exponential growth in its early stages.

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      • Clinicallydepressedpoochie@lemmy.world ⁨6⁩ ⁨days⁩ ago

        Do you accept that if we put together a metric to measure the advancement of AI that it would indicate it would grow over time?

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• logi@lemmy.world ⁨6⁩ ⁨days⁩ ago

  Or you can just admit you dont have any data to quantify your assertion that AI advancement is exponential growth.

  Ah, that’s a fair argument. LLMs growing exponentially is just an assertion being made and we’re supposed to believe that then the steep growth must be just around the corner.

  But all over this post you’ve got heavily downvoted comments that sound like you are misunderstanding exponential functions rather than doubting that they’re the right model for this.

  We might be on the steep part of an S function right now.

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  • Clinicallydepressedpoochie@lemmy.world ⁨6⁩ ⁨days⁩ ago

    You can read. Read my comments.

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